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CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2015-11-16T03:12:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2015-11-16T03:12Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/9706/-1
CME Note: CME associated with a second filament eruption visible in SDO 193/171/304 starting around 02UT.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-11-18T19:24Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-11-18T12:09Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 53.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 5.25
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:

This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CME

Lead Time: -80113.53 hour(s)
Difference: 7.25 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z

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